TPS Turku 0-2 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
5.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
20%
2.6
6+ Goals
15%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/2.00
-5% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gnistan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 2-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
23.07.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 0-3 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.05.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
03.09.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 5-0 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
22.06.2022 Gnistan Gnistan 0-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
02.10.2021 Gnistan Gnistan 1-2 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
0-2
AWAY Gnistan
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan beat TPS Turku 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gnistan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TPS Turku had 48% of the ball to Gnistan's 52%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for TPS Turku and 0.83 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs Gnistan?

TPS Turku 0-2 Gnistan in the Finland - League Cup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 33%, draw 21%, Gnistan 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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