KuPS Kuopio 0-1 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 45%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.17/3.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.68
+38% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 511 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.85 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
471 Passes 401
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.10.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
14.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-4 HT 0-4 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
14.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-3 HT 0-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
21.05.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
18.01.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-4 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
24.09.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
0-1
AWAY Ilves Tampere
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere squeezed past KuPS Kuopio 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Ilves Tampere made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 58% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 42%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 2.67 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere?

KuPS Kuopio 0-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - League Cup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 35%, draw 26%, Ilves Tampere 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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