KuPS Kuopio 2-4 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
18%
7.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.29
1/2
6%
23.65
1/X
4%
12.6
X/1
15%
5.71
X/2
15%
6.07
X/X
10%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.8
2/2
15%
3.6
2/X
9%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.8 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.4pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.24/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.29
-2% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 84%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
16.5 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
424 Passes 418
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-3 HT 0-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
21.05.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
18.01.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-4 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
24.09.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
18.08.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
31.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2-4
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.15 xG 0.72
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
588 Passes 364
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere got the better of KuPS Kuopio 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Ilves Tampere made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 61% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 39%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.15 to 0.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured KuPS Kuopio.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 2.00 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere?

KuPS Kuopio 2-4 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 41%, draw 23%, Ilves Tampere 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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