Ilves Tampere 3-0 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.49
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
16%
5.75
X/2
14%
6.26
X/X
14%
4.99
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
12%
3.99
2/X
10%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.06/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.02
+24% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
15.0 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
3W-0D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.60 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
452 Passes 377
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-4 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
24.09.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
18.08.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
31.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
27.01.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
13.08.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-3 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
3-0
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.26 xG 0.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
357 Passes 479
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
45 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere cruised past KuPS Kuopio 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Ilves Tampere made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 45% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 55%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.26 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.50 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio?

Ilves Tampere 3-0 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 35%, draw 33%, KuPS Kuopio 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →