KuPS Kuopio 1-0 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
19%
4.55
X/2
12%
7.35
X/X
13%
4.56
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
15%
5.4
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.36/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.34
-11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.9 Crosses 13.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
402 Passes 364
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
27.01.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
13.08.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-3 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
23.04.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
11.02.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
03.09.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
1-0
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.89 xG 0.47
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
369 Passes 572
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio nicked a narrow win over Ilves Tampere 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 41% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 59%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.89 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.00 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere?

KuPS Kuopio 1-0 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 42%, draw 26%, Ilves Tampere 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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