EIF 0-3 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
55%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.33
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.65
1/X
5%
16.8
X/1
9%
11.35
X/2
14%
3.82
X/X
9%
6.36
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.9
2/X
5%
16.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.65 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
55%
Away Win
60%
-5.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 64%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.22/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.95
+11% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
14.8 Crosses 21.8
4.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
0W-2D-1L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.62 xG 1.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
152 Passes 576
68% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 42
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.06.2024 EIF EIF 0-0 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİK
04.05.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-0 HT 0-0 EIF EIF FİN
02.03.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-1 HT 3-0 EIF EIF FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
0-3
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.31 xG 2.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
396 Passes 256
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH EIF vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki ran out comfortable winners over EIF 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, EIF had 59% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 41%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.31 to 2.25.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for EIF and 1.33 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of EIF vs HJK Helsinki?

EIF 0-3 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split EIF 26%, draw 19%, HJK Helsinki 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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