IFK Mariehamn 0-0 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.14
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
12%
5.62
X/2
10%
5.18
X/X
10%
4.01
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.7
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.45
Value flag · 2/X at 13.45 — our 10% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
0.99/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.39
-11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.2
14.2 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Lahti
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
260 Passes 385
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-0 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
23.02.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
08.10.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
23.07.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
16.04.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-3 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
19.02.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
0-0
AWAY FC Lahti
1.25 xG 0.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
426 Passes 445
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn and FC Lahti played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 49% of the ball to FC Lahti's 51%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.25 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Lahti led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.50 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti?

IFK Mariehamn 0-0 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 39%, draw 27%, FC Lahti 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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