Jaro 1-0 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 14 Feb 2026

Jaro
1-0 HT 0-0
VPS
📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 37%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.43/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.36
-76% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
273 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-3D-1L
AWAY VPS
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 2.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
231 Passes 354
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 VPS VPS 1-3 HT 1-2 Jaro Jaro FİN
25.07.2025 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
11.06.2025 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 1-2 VPS VPS FİK
17.05.2025 VPS VPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
25.01.2025 VPS VPS 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
23.10.2021 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FINY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
1-0
AWAY VPS
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jaro vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro squeezed past VPS 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Jaro made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jaro had 42% of the ball to VPS's 58%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jaro and 1.17 for VPS.

What was the final score of Jaro vs VPS?

Jaro 1-0 VPS in the Finland - League Cup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jaro 35%, draw 29%, VPS 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✗ BTTS Yes
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