Jaro 2-2 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 25 Jul 2025

Jaro
2-2 HT 0-0
VPS
📅25/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

Jaro vs VPS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.67
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 25% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.49
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
13%
7.42
X/2
10%
4.84
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.82
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaro v VPS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.04/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.88
+34% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
213 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 86%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
23.6 Crosses 21.7
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Jaro vs VPS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY VPS
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
234 Passes 445
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.06.2025 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 1-2 VPS VPS FİK
17.05.2025 VPS VPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
25.01.2025 VPS VPS 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
23.10.2021 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FINY
28.07.2021 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
23.05.2021 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN2

Jaro 2-2 VPS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-2
AWAY VPS
2.13 xG 1.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
199 Passes 245
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 34
30 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jaro vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro and VPS shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was VPS at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Jaro had 48% of the ball to VPS's 52%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.13 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jaro and 1.17 for VPS.

What was the final score of Jaro vs VPS?

Jaro 2-2 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jaro 31%, draw 25%, VPS 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VPS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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