Ilves Tampere 1-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.3
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
6.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.92
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.37
X/2
12%
6.81
X/X
9%
6.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.3
2/2
20%
4.19
2/X
9%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.04/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.94
+9% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
15.0 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
5W-0D-1L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.79
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
408 Passes 468
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-4 HT 0-4 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
14.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-3 HT 0-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
21.05.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
18.01.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-4 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
24.09.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
18.08.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
1-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.83 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
538 Passes 385
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
36 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere and KuPS Kuopio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 57% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 43%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.83 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.00 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio?

Ilves Tampere 1-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 36%, draw 25%, KuPS Kuopio 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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