14/02/2026
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Erbil vs Zakho Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
30%
Draw
32%
32%
Away Win
31%
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
54%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erbil v Zakho — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Erbil
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zakho
EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-37% /
-37%
1.54/1.41
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.56/1.57
+38%
/
-28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-51%
/
-26%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
2
4
Corners
4
294 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
307 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Erbil vs Zakho Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Erbil
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Zakho
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Erbil vs Zakho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zakho edged past Erbil 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Zakho made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Erbil vs Zakho?
Erbil 0-1 Zakho in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erbil vs Zakho?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Erbil 38%, draw 30%, Zakho 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Erbil) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Erbil)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Iraq - Premier League
14 Feb 2026