14/02/2026
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Diala vs Al Karma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
39%
Draw
31%
36%
Away Win
43%
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
58%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Diala v Al Karma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Diala
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Karma
EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+40% /
+40%
1.13/1.27
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/0.37
+18%
/
-17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+66%
/
+121%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
251 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
378 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Diala vs Al Karma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Diala
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Al Karma
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Diala vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Diala and Al Karma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 24% / 39% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Diala vs Al Karma?
Diala 1-1 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Diala vs Al Karma?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Diala 24%, draw 39%, Al Karma 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
14 Feb 2026