Naft Maysan 2-1 Al-Qasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
11%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.8
Over 2.5
36%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
11%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.8pp
11%
Away Win
14%
-3.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 17%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/2.04
+24% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Maysan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al-Qasim
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.05.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 0-1 HT 0-1 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft Maysan vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan squeezed past Al-Qasim 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naft Maysan as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Al-Qasim?

Naft Maysan 2-1 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Al-Qasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Maysan win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 60%, draw 29%, Al-Qasim 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft Maysan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft Maysan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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