America de Cali 1-0 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +29%
1.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.12
+3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
17.5 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
284 Passes 221
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.08.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 2-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
16.02.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
12.11.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
21.04.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
28.08.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
15.03.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-0
AWAY Santa Fe
1.40 xG 0.78
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
393 Passes 217
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali nicked a narrow win over Santa Fe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, America de Cali had 61% of the ball to Santa Fe's 39%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.40 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for America de Cali and 0.83 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Santa Fe?

America de Cali 1-0 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 48%, draw 27%, Santa Fe 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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