America de Cali 2-0 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.58/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.30
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
17.3 Crosses 12.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 252
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
12.11.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
21.04.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
28.08.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
15.03.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
03.08.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
08.02.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-2 HT 0-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
2-0
AWAY Santa Fe
1.34 xG 1.66
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 7
306 Passes 165
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali saw off Santa Fe 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America de Cali had 61% of the ball to Santa Fe's 39%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.34 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for America de Cali and 1.00 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Santa Fe?

America de Cali 2-0 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 57%, draw 22%, Santa Fe 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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