CD Tapatio 3-1 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+10.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.55/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.38
+13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
1W-0D-2L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.09.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
26.01.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
10.08.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Tapatio
3-1
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio beat CDS Tampico Madero 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Tapatio as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CD Tapatio had 44% of the ball to CDS Tampico Madero's 56%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.00 for CDS Tampico Madero.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs CDS Tampico Madero?

CD Tapatio 3-1 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 47%, draw 25%, CDS Tampico Madero 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
14 Feb 2026
04:00 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala Analysis →
04:00 Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante Analysis →
06:00 Irapuato vs Dorados De Sinaloa Analysis →