Irapuato 5-0 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
-0.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irapuato EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 19%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.92/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.42
-3% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irapuato
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
06.09.2025 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-1 Irapuato Irapuato MEK2
04.04.2015 Irapuato Irapuato 0-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
18.02.2015 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-0 HT 2-0 Irapuato Irapuato MEKK
05.02.2015 Irapuato Irapuato 0-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEKK
19.10.2014 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-0 Irapuato Irapuato MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irapuato
5-0
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Irapuato vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irapuato ran out comfortable winners over Dorados De Sinaloa 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Irapuato as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Irapuato had 67% of the ball to Dorados De Sinaloa's 33%, shots finished 22-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Irapuato had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Irapuato and 0.60 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Irapuato vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Irapuato 5-0 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irapuato vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irapuato win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Irapuato 63%, draw 19%, Dorados De Sinaloa 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irapuato), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Irapuato) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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