Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
59%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
33%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
16%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
60%
Away Win
61%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 66%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -20%
0.96/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.86
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +48%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atlante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
07.09.2025 Atlante Atlante 5-1 HT 3-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
04.04.2025 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
21.10.2024 Atlante Atlante 3-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
12.04.2024 Atlante Atlante 4-0 HT 3-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
06.09.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
07.04.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Correcaminos UAT
1-1
AWAY Atlante
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT and Atlante shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Atlante carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Correcaminos UAT had 37% of the ball to Atlante's 63%, shots finished 5-26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 2.33 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante?

Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 14%, draw 27%, Atlante 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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