Atlante 5-1 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
69%
+1.6pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.9pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
2.29/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.62
+8% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
398 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.04.2025 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
21.10.2024 Atlante Atlante 3-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
12.04.2024 Atlante Atlante 4-0 HT 3-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
06.09.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
07.04.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
08.07.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante ran out comfortable winners over Correcaminos UAT 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atlante and 1.00 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Correcaminos UAT?

Atlante 5-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Atlante 70%, draw 16%, Correcaminos UAT 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
7 Sep 2025
06:00 CDS Tampico Madero vs CD Tapatio Analysis →