Trofense vs Uniao Santarem Prediction — Model Probabilities
Trofense v Uniao Santarem — Team-Based Signals
Trofense 1-2 Uniao Santarem — Actual Match Statistics
Uniao Santarem shaded a tight game against Trofense 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Trofense at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.96, about 51% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 61% to 39% in Trofense's favour, shots finished 9-8.
Trofense vs Uniao Santarem Result & Final Score
Trofense 1 - 2 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - Liga 3 on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Trofense vs Uniao Santarem Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Trofense 45%, draw 31%, Uniao Santarem 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.