Trofense 1-2 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.25/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.79
-4% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +61%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
1-2
AWAY Uniao Santarem
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem squeezed past Trofense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Uniao Santarem found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trofense had 61% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 39%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Uniao Santarem?

Trofense 1-2 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Trofense 39%, draw 28%, Uniao Santarem 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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