Sanjoanense 1-1 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.62/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.71
+27% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
13.09.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
05.04.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 5-2 HT 1-2 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
01.03.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 2-2 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
14.12.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 2-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
31.08.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
1-1
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense and Sao Joao Ver shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 40% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 60%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.83 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Sanjoanense 1-1 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 39%, draw 28%, Sao Joao Ver 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanjoanense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✓ BTTS Yes
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