AD Marco 09 0-2 Paredes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.5pp
21%
Draw
29%
-8.0pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Paredes EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.00/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.97
-13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AD Marco 09
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Paredes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.01.2026 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 0-3 HT 0-2 Paredes Paredes POR3
05.10.2025 Paredes Paredes 2-0 HT 2-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
0-2
AWAY Paredes
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ AD Marco 09 vs Paredes
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Paredes beat AD Marco 09 2-0 away from home in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14 Feb 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 53% of the ball to Paredes's 47%, shots finished 11-5.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paredes lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for AD Marco 09 and 2.50 for Paredes.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

AD Marco 09 0-2 Paredes in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 35%, draw 21%, Paredes 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paredes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paredes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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