AD Marco 09 0-3 Paredes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.6pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Paredes EU Bookmakers 53%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-11% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AD Marco 09
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Paredes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Paredes Paredes 2-0 HT 2-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
0-3
AWAY Paredes
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ AD Marco 09 vs Paredes
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Paredes ran out comfortable winners over AD Marco 09 3-0 away from home in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11 Jan 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 58% of the ball to Paredes's 42%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

AD Marco 09 0-3 Paredes in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 31%, draw 27%, Paredes 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paredes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paredes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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