Amarante 1-0 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.04/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.97
-16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
12.01.2025 Amarante Amarante 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
29.09.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-0
AWAY Sporting Braga II
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante edged past Sporting Braga II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Amarante as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Amarante had 46% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 54%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Amarante and 0.67 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Sporting Braga II?

Amarante 1-0 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Amarante 41%, draw 31%, Sporting Braga II 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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