Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes II v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Varzim
POR3
2-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria Guimaraes II
POR3
0-2
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes II
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes II
POR2
Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-2 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim squeezed past Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes II had 60% of the ball to Varzim's 40%, shots finished 19-9.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes II and 1.00 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Varzim?
Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-2 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes II 45%, draw 25%, Varzim 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.