Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Varzim v Vitoria Guimaraes II — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Varzim
POR3
2-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria Guimaraes II
POR3
0-2
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes II
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes II
POR2
Varzim 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim and Vitoria Guimaraes II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Varzim at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Varzim had 59% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes II's 41%, shots finished 19-4.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Varzim and 1.00 for Vitoria Guimaraes II.
What was the final score of Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?
Varzim 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Varzim 44%, draw 27%, Vitoria Guimaraes II 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varzim) went the other way.