Atletico CP 1-2 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.33/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.84
+0% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +67%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-0 HT 0-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
10.08.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-2
AWAY Uniao Santarem
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem edged past Atletico CP 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico CP at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 65% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 35%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico CP and 1.00 for Uniao Santarem.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Uniao Santarem?

Atletico CP 1-2 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 45%, draw 29%, Uniao Santarem 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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