Trofense 1-2 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +15%
1.40/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.03
+5% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sanjoanense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 3-1 HT 2-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
22.02.2025 Trofense Trofense 2-0 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
07.12.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
25.08.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-2 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
04.05.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
17.02.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-3 HT 0-2 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
1-2
AWAY Sanjoanense
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense squeezed past Trofense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Trofense carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trofense had 57% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 43%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trofense had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trofense and 1.17 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Sanjoanense?

Trofense 1-2 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Trofense 55%, draw 22%, Sanjoanense 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trofense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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