Trofense 2-0 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.1pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.8pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
1.50/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.24
-1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sanjoanense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.12.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
25.08.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-2 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
04.05.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
17.02.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-3 HT 0-2 Trofense Trofense POR3
05.11.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 3-2 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
08.08.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
2-0
AWAY Sanjoanense
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense saw off Sanjoanense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trofense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trofense had 50% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 50%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trofense had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trofense and 1.17 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Sanjoanense?

Trofense 2-0 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trofense 44%, draw 31%, Sanjoanense 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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