Varzim 2-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.5pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.13/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.34
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico CP
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.04.2024 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
25.02.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-0 HT 2-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-1
AWAY Atletico CP
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim edged past Atletico CP 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varzim had 56% of the ball to Atletico CP's 44%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico CP led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Varzim and 1.50 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Atletico CP?

Varzim 2-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Varzim 43%, draw 23%, Atletico CP 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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