Academica vs Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Academica v Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Academica vs Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Caldas
POR3
0-2
HT 0-1
Academica
POR3
2-1
HT 0-1
Caldas
POR3
Academica 1-2 Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Caldas squeezed past Academica 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Academica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Academica had 56% of the ball to Caldas's 44%, shots finished 14-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Academica and 1.17 for Caldas.
What was the final score of Academica vs Caldas?
Academica 1-2 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Academica vs Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academica 41%, draw 25%, Caldas 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.