Fafe vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fafe v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Fafe vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-1
Fafe
POR3
0-3
HT 0-1
Lusitania FC Lourosa
POR3
Fafe 1-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa squeezed past Fafe 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Lusitania FC Lourosa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fafe had 53% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 47%, shots finished 20-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lusitania FC Lourosa led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fafe and 2.75 for Lusitania FC Lourosa.
What was the final score of Fafe vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Fafe 1-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fafe vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fafe 40%, draw 24%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.