Vilaverdense 0-1 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
32%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.8pp
32%
Away Win
46%
-13.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.64/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.24
-48% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
196 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-1 HT 2-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
06.10.2024 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
21.05.2023 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
07.01.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
0-1
AWAY Sporting Braga II
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II squeezed past Vilaverdense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sporting Braga II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 30% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 70%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Vilaverdense and 0.75 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Sporting Braga II?

Vilaverdense 0-1 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilaverdense win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 34%, draw 34%, Sporting Braga II 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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