Anadia 0-1 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.44/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.43
+15% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Anadia Anadia 2-2 HT 1-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
05.10.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 3-1 HT 1-1 Anadia Anadia POR3
07.01.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-3 HT 3-2 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
0-1
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver edged past Anadia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Anadia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Anadia had 60% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 40%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sao Joao Ver led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Anadia and 2.67 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Sao Joao Ver?

Anadia 0-1 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anadia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Anadia 44%, draw 23%, Sao Joao Ver 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Anadia)
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