Sporting CP II 1-3 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
2.06/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.62
+70% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.01.2025 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-1 HT 1-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
06.10.2024 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
05.02.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
21.10.2022 CF Os Belenenses 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
1-3
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses beat Sporting CP II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 55% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 45%, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting CP II and 0.75 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs CF Os Belenenses?

Sporting CP II 1-3 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 42%, draw 27%, CF Os Belenenses 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✓ BTTS Yes
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