CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.54/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.09
+24% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
296 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
05.02.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
21.10.2022 CF Os Belenenses 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1-1
AWAY Sporting CP II
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses and Sporting CP II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 47% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 53%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 0.50 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Sporting CP II?

CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 39%, draw 28%, Sporting CP II 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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