Trofense 3-2 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.61/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/0.94
-52% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Varzim
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.26 xG 1.29
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
156 Passes 436
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-2 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
03.09.2023 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
25.04.2022 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR2
12.12.2021 Varzim Varzim 1-3 HT 1-2 Trofense Trofense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
3-2
AWAY Varzim
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Trofense vs Varzim
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Trofense edged past Varzim 3-2 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 6 Oct 2024. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Trofense had 60% of the ball to Varzim's 40%, shots finished 20-10.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Trofense have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trofense and 0.50 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Varzim?

Trofense 3-2 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Trofense 39%, draw 27%, Varzim 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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