Fafe 4-1 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.44/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.00
+16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amarante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Fafe Fafe 1-4 HT 1-3 Amarante Amarante POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
4-1
AWAY Amarante
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe swept aside Amarante 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Fafe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fafe had 41% of the ball to Amarante's 59%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Amarante?

Fafe 4-1 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fafe 35%, draw 31%, Amarante 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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