Sporting CP II 2-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.77/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.40
+40% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
05.02.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
21.10.2022 CF Os Belenenses 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
2-1
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II edged past CF Os Belenenses 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 55% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 45%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting CP II and 0.67 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs CF Os Belenenses?

Sporting CP II 2-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 46%, draw 24%, CF Os Belenenses 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✓ BTTS Yes
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