Academica 1-2 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.84/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.93
-39% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Dezembro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 1-2 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
05.11.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
08.08.2023 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
1-2
AWAY Dezembro
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Academica vs Dezembro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Dezembro edged past Academica 2-1 away from home in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18 Jan 2025. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Academica had 63% of the ball to Dezembro's 37%, shots finished 14-7.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Academica have the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academica and 0.67 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Academica vs Dezembro?

Academica 1-2 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Academica 46%, draw 25%, Dezembro 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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