Varzim 2-1 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.86/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.33
-34% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Trofense
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.29 xG 1.26
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
436 Passes 156
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
28 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
16.12.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-2 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
03.09.2023 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
25.04.2022 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR2
12.12.2021 Varzim Varzim 1-3 HT 1-2 Trofense Trofense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-1
AWAY Trofense
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Varzim vs Trofense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Varzim edged past Trofense 2-1 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18 Jan 2025. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

On the day, Varzim had 58% of the ball to Trofense's 42%, shots finished 9-12.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Trofense lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Varzim and 1.80 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Trofense?

Varzim 2-1 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Varzim 38%, draw 28%, Trofense 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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