Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sanjoanense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Sanjoanense — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sanjoanense Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Lusitania FC Lourosa
POR3
Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 Sanjoanense — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa edged past Sanjoanense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 58% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 42%, shots finished 9-5.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 1.00 for Sanjoanense.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sanjoanense?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sanjoanense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 53%, draw 25%, Sanjoanense 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.