Amarante 0-0 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.64/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.98
-51% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fafe
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Fafe Fafe 4-1 HT 2-1 Amarante Amarante POR3
08.09.2024 Fafe Fafe 1-4 HT 1-3 Amarante Amarante POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
0-0
AWAY Fafe
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante and Fafe fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amarante had 47% of the ball to Fafe's 53%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Amarante and 2.50 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Fafe?

Amarante 0-0 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amarante 39%, draw 27%, Fafe 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amarante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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