Sanjoanense 3-1 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.66/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.23
+33% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Trofense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Trofense Trofense 2-0 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
07.12.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
25.08.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-2 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
04.05.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
17.02.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-3 HT 0-2 Trofense Trofense POR3
05.11.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 3-2 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
3-1
AWAY Trofense
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense beat Trofense 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sanjoanense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 45% of the ball to Trofense's 55%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trofense led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sanjoanense and 2.17 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Trofense?

Sanjoanense 3-1 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 40%, draw 26%, Trofense 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanjoanense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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