Amarante vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amarante v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Amarante vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Amarante 1-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Amarante and Lusitania FC Lourosa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Lusitania FC Lourosa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Amarante had 42% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 58%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lusitania FC Lourosa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Amarante and 1.00 for Lusitania FC Lourosa.
What was the final score of Amarante vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Amarante 1-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amarante vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Amarante 27%, draw 28%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), BTTS No went the other way.