Sporting Braga II 3-2 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.6pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 23%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.21/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.68
-22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Vilaverdense
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
18.01.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-1 HT 2-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
06.10.2024 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
21.05.2023 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
07.01.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
3-2
AWAY Vilaverdense
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II nicked a narrow win over Vilaverdense 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 47% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 53%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sporting Braga II and 0.60 for Vilaverdense.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Vilaverdense?

Sporting Braga II 3-2 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 47%, draw 26%, Vilaverdense 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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