Fafe 2-0 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.07/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.51
-21% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico CP
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 4-0 HT 1-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
2-0
AWAY Atletico CP
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe saw off Atletico CP 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Fafe made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fafe had 41% of the ball to Atletico CP's 59%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Atletico CP?

Fafe 2-0 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fafe 40%, draw 26%, Atletico CP 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
26 Apr 2025
13:00 Dezembro vs Sporting CP II Analysis →
17:00 Amarante vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Analysis →
17:00 Sanjoanense vs Trofense Analysis →
17:00 Sporting Braga II vs Vilaverdense Analysis →
17:00 Sao Joao Ver vs Anadia Analysis →
22:00 Varzim vs CF Os Belenenses Analysis →