Sao Joao Ver 0-1 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.69/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.45
+35% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Anadia
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Anadia Anadia 0-1 HT 0-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
18.01.2025 Anadia Anadia 2-2 HT 1-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
05.10.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 3-1 HT 1-1 Anadia Anadia POR3
07.01.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-3 HT 3-2 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0-1
AWAY Anadia
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia edged past Sao Joao Ver 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Joao Ver at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 60% of the ball to Anadia's 40%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sao Joao Ver had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.50 for Anadia.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Anadia?

Sao Joao Ver 0-1 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 43%, draw 29%, Anadia 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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