Dezembro 1-1 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.10/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.52
-16% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sporting CP II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 3-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
12.01.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
27.09.2024 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-1 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
07.04.2024 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-0 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
02.03.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 1-4 HT 1-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
07.01.2024 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-0 HT 2-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-1
AWAY Sporting CP II
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro and Sporting CP II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Dezembro had 46% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 54%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dezembro and 1.67 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Sporting CP II?

Dezembro 1-1 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 38%, draw 26%, Sporting CP II 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dezembro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dezembro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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