Sporting CP II 1-1 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.54
Over 2.5
53%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.09
No
45%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
61%
-14.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
39%
+14.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.8pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.35/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.09
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Dezembro
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-0 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
02.03.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 1-4 HT 1-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
07.01.2024 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-0 HT 2-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
17.09.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
1-1
AWAY Dezembro
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II and Dezembro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 55% of the ball to Dezembro's 45%, shots finished 23-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Sporting CP II and 0.25 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Dezembro?

Sporting CP II 1-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 44%, draw 24%, Dezembro 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →